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Sunday, September 22, 2002
Won't somebody buy Andy Sullivan an abacus?
According to Andy :
I'm struck by the generational dynamics in the latest Ipsos-Reid poll. The GOP has a huge lead among the young, especially men under 44. I wonder why. Could it be that September 11 was a more potent event for those with less life experience under their belts? Or is it that the young recognize that the Democrats are essentially a political operation designed to take money from the young and productive and give it to the old and rich and retired? Both possibilities are encouraging.
While I will allow that Andy is correct about the men's numbers (although his reasons are specious at best), his main point:
The GOP has a huge lead among the young
is, how should I put this... lacking in those qualities that make it the truth. A quick check over at Ipsos-Reid shows this:
And if the election for Congress were held today, would you want to see the Republicans or Democrats win control of Congress?
Men 18-44 prefer Republicans to Democrats 53% to 35%
All well and good...but wait a minute...we all know that women are not Andy's "preference", but shouldn't we at least take a look at how they would vote? Oh, let's!
And if the election for Congress were held today, would you want to see the Republicans or Democrats win control of Congress?
Women 18-44 prefer Democrats to Republicans 53% to 36%.
Let's check back with Andy again:
The GOP has a huge lead among the young
Now, I'm no Paul Krugman, but I see a 1% variance here.
So. What have we learned today? First, Andy Sullivan is not very good at math. Secondly, he "shades" the truth, and not very well. And lastly, if you come across one of Andy's personal ads looking for you know what and he promises a huge package...expect a one percent increase above the norm. That's hardly worth getting off the couch for.
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